The Impact of the US Election Results on the Clerical Regime and the Fate of the Iranian People's Uprising

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  By: Reza Hoseani Abstract Although the US election is ostensibly a domestic event in the United States, it directly affects the regional balance, the internal equations of the clerical regime, and ultimately the fate of the Iranian people’s uprising. This article examines these effects and shows that, contrary to the regime’s initial propaganda, the election result has created no opening for the immature Supreme Leader and his imposed successor, Mojtaba Khamenei. On the contrary, with the declining likelihood of a full-scale war and the reactivation of frozen social demands, it has created the ground for a major, organized, and inevitable uprising. The article concludes that Mojtaba Khamenei, unlike his father, has none of the historical, political, and military conditions needed to consolidate himself as Supreme Leader, and is trapped in a deadlock of “neither war nor peace.” In such a situation, an uprising, whether by force or by peace, is lying in wait for the regime and is i...
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The fear of the clerical regime of the telegram filtering and the rift and confusion among its various factions

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Reza Hoseani
On Saturday, March 31th, the head of the National Security Commission, Alaeddin Borujerdi, announced that the telegram will be filtered soon.


 He said the telegram will be filtered on April 20th, and that this is at the highest levels of decision-making. He added that the telegram will be replaced by a national program. Subsequently, some regime officials including Assistant Commander of the Force The internal security of the Revolutionary Guards confirmed Boroujerdi's remarks and emphasized the filtering of the telegram.
But we quickly witnessed a huge wave of people's opposition to this issue in cyberspace, although some members of the parliament of the clerical regime did not agree.
On the other hand, one of the analysts of the clerical regime in the Arman government issued a report on the April 20th: Everyone knows not the president and not the Islamic Consultative Assembly and not the parliament of expediency.
There is no institutional foundation in the power structure in a position to allow them to prevent filtering or closing a telegram.
But the main thing is that what will be the effect of blocking telegrams in different domains?
... (For example), such as the December (popular uprising), the telegram can be used with a breakdown filtering program.
  If the telegram is to be controlled, what do they want to do with the millions who were born in the 1980s and the 1990s and even the 2000s? ... Indeed, why do not they think about it, after a brief period, what will be its social and political impact?
He addressed the rival gang about blocking the telegram and said: "Do not hurry in the bitter people's mouths with these kinds of words, do not eradicate employment in a crisis of unemployment !"
As a result, he immediately took charge of closing the telegram to Khamenei, placing himself in the opposite position.
In fact, despite all these contradictions it seems that it was initially decided to close the telegram, but after it was announced, they felt the danger.
Officials in the regime said that some users in Iran are more than 40 million people, and the anger and disgust of this number of people will increase the hatred of the people.
In particular, according to the regime's media, 200,000 people earn a telegram, and by preventing it (if technically feasible), the number of unemployed will be added, and this will be a new crisis and security risk that threaten the regime.
At present, the situation is very sensitive due to the explosive conditions of society, especially after the December 29 uprising.
It's like a wound that bleeds with minimal pressure. The clerical regime is also frightened by the minimal signs and faced with the rift and confusion among its various factions.

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