The Impact of the US Election Results on the Clerical Regime and the Fate of the Iranian People's Uprising
By: Reza Hoseani Abstract Although the US election is ostensibly a domestic event in the United States, it directly affects the regional balance, the internal equations of the clerical regime, and ultimately the fate of the Iranian people’s uprising. This article examines these effects and shows that, contrary to the regime’s initial propaganda, the election result has created no opening for the immature Supreme Leader and his imposed successor, Mojtaba Khamenei. On the contrary, with the declining likelihood of a full-scale war and the reactivation of frozen social demands, it has created the ground for a major, organized, and inevitable uprising. The article concludes that Mojtaba Khamenei, unlike his father, has none of the historical, political, and military conditions needed to consolidate himself as Supreme Leader, and is trapped in a deadlock of “neither war nor peace.” In such a situation, an uprising, whether by force or by peace, is lying in wait for the regime and is i...