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Intensifying U.S. Economic Pressure: Washington’s New Move Against the Mullahs’ Regime and Its Consequences

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  By Reza Hoseani Is Washington’s economic fury more effective than military warfare? An examination of the United States’ new sanctions targeting the IRGC’s financial lifelines and their impact on Iran’s explosive social environment. Amid the regime’s paralyzing deadlock between war and restraint, Washington has made its choice unmistakably clear: an all-out economic war instead of a large-scale military war. This choice is not the product of moderation. Rather, it reflects an understanding that economic pressure may be more lethal to the regime, less costly for the West, and more socially acceptable to the Iranian people than military intervention. 1. From “Maximum Pressure” to “Economic Fury”: The IRGC’s Lifelines in the Crosshairs In recent months, the U.S. Department of the Treasury has escalated economic pressure through two new initiatives. First came what has been described as Operation Economic Fury, announced by U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent. He stated explicitly ...

Why Is Mohammad Khatami Warning Against Non-Compliance With the Iran-US Memorandum

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  By Reza Hoseani  understanding signed between Masoud Pezeshkian and the US administration — and symbolically kissed the hand of its signatory — go far beyond a diplomatic position. They are a clear sign of a deepening strategic rift at the very top of the Islamic Republic’s power structure. Khatami warns that losing this opportunity will confront the regime with “strange problems.” The central question is this: Why is the so-called reformist faction clinging so desperately to this memorandum, while the Supreme Leader’s inner circle and his successor-in-waiting, Mojtaba Khamenei, are pushing back with the dismissive phrase “in principle”? 1. The Memorandum: A Concession or a Poisoned Chalice? In his remarks, Khatami presents an exaggerated picture of the memorandum, claiming: “Go and read this memorandum. It has no precedent. Since World War II, no memorandum, no document signed by a US president, has granted so many concessions to the opposing side… Nine times, the United St...
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  By Reza Hoseani Introduction: Iran’s Inflation Is No Longer a Cycle—It’s a Free Fall For over four decades, inflation in Iran has not been a temporary problem, but a structural crisis under the mullahs’ rule. What is unfolding today has gone beyond ordinary inflation and entered a stage of economic free fall. According to the regime’s own Statistical Center, point-to-point inflation reached 31.8% in January 2025, but more recent reports from the Central Bank in July 2026 show annual inflation at 61.4% and point-to-point inflation at around 84%. This means a worker’s monthly wage does not even cover one week of living expenses. 1. Why Are Prices Spiraling Out of Control? The root cause is not sanctions, but three deliberate policies: a) Plundering the budget for repression and nuclear projects: A major driver of the food price surge is the currency crisis, where a huge portion of the budget, instead of importing essential goods, is spent on funding repressive apparatuses, weapons...