The Long War of Attrition: Iran, Trump, and the Nuclear Deadlock
By Struan Stevenson A strange calm has descended across the Gulf. Occasional tankers again edge through the Strait of Hormuz. Diplomats shuttle between capitals. Donald Trump hints at flexibility. Tehran signals openness to Chinese mediation. Yet beneath the surface lies a brutal reality — the Iran war has entered a dangerous stalemate. Neither side can claim outright victory. The clerical regime in Tehran lacks the economic strength, military reach, and public legitimacy required for prolonged confrontation. Meanwhile, the United States and Israel have discovered that air power alone cannot erase decades of nuclear development buried deep beneath mountains and military compounds. Missiles can devastate infrastructure. They cannot destroy scientific knowledge. That leaves the world facing the central question: how does this end? The first truth demanding recognition concerns uranium enrichment. The mullahs will never surrender every aspect of their so-called ‘civilian’ nuclear pr...