iran panorama

  By Reza Hoseani Introduction: Iran’s Inflation Is No Longer a Cycle—It’s a Free Fall For over four decades, inflation in Iran has not been a temporary problem, but a structural crisis under the mullahs’ rule. What is unfolding today has gone beyond ordinary inflation and entered a stage of economic free fall. According to the regime’s own Statistical Center, point-to-point inflation reached 31.8% in January 2025, but more recent reports from the Central Bank in July 2026 show annual inflation at 61.4% and point-to-point inflation at around 84%. This means a worker’s monthly wage does not even cover one week of living expenses. 1. Why Are Prices Spiraling Out of Control? The root cause is not sanctions, but three deliberate policies: a) Plundering the budget for repression and nuclear projects: A major driver of the food price surge is the currency crisis, where a huge portion of the budget, instead of importing essential goods, is spent on funding repressive apparatuses, weapons...

  By Reza Hoseani Introduction: From the Slogan of Infiltration to the Law of Infiltration The general principles of the bill “Confronting the Infiltration of Foreign Intelligence Services and Governments” were approved with 183 votes on August 15, 2026 in the mullahs’ parliament. Hassan Ghashghavi, spokesman for the National Security Commission, said: “We have laws on espionage, but in the field of infiltration, given its importance and the Leader’s emphasis, there was a legal vacuum.” Yet the same parliament admits this bill was being drafted long before the 12-day war. Why is a regime that called itself the most powerful intelligence system in the region now rushing to legislate to plug its security holes? The answer is not in the text of the law, but in the blows inflicted on the regime in the past year. 1. Why Now? A Security Failure That Cannot Be Explained by Mobiles and Laptops The official narrative is that infiltration means leaked mobiles and computers. But reality says ...

  By Reza Hoseani 1. Introduction: A Coup Not as an Incident, but as the Beginning of a Pattern The coup of August 19, 1953 (28 Mordad 1332) should not be summarized merely as a military event on a specific day in Iran’s contemporary history. What happened in August 1953 was in fact a breaking point in Iran’s democratization process and the beginning of a recurring pattern. A government that had come to power by the vote of the people with the aim of nationalizing the oil industry and cutting off the hands of foreigners and internal despotism was overthrown by an organized conspiracy. This overthrow was not just the fall of a prime minister, but the fall of a model of national and popular government that could have completely changed Iran’s destiny. Therefore, examining 28 Mordad is examining the roots of subsequent dictatorships in Iran. 2. Why Did Mossadegh’s National Government Have to Be Overthrown? The government of Dr. Mohammad Mossadegh was considered a dual threat. On the o...

  By Reza Hoseani The crisis of the gasoline price hike has once again returned to the agenda of the clerical regime’s government and parliament. A regime floundering in the quagmire of incurable crises of legitimacy, a bankrupt economy, and international isolation, has no way to finance the staggering costs of its repressive institutions and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) except by reaching into the pockets of the deprived people. Yet this same regime knows well that any tampering with gasoline prices could spark an explosion of rage in a society that has nothing left to lose. A Bankrupt Economy: IRGC Budget Preserved, Pressure on the Deprived In the 1404 (2025-2026) budget, the share of repressive organs, the IRGC, the Basij, religious institutions, and Khamenei’s propaganda apparatus has not been reduced by a single rial. Instead, the bankrupt government of Pezeshkian has quietly begun a plan to implement a three-tier gasoline pricing system and eliminate free fuel...