Iran’s War of Survival: Why Economic Pressure May Matter More Than Bombardment

-
Image
  Written by Mehdi Oghbai Six-minute read More than four months into the confrontation involving Iran and the United States, the conflict appears to have entered a decisive phase. The central question is no longer simply how much military damage either side can inflict. It is whether Tehran can turn prolonged confrontation into a political instrument of survival — or whether sustained economic isolation will expose vulnerabilities that military strikes alone have failed to exploit. The Iranian regime’s leadership has sought to portray its posture around the Strait of Hormuz as evidence of strength and strategic leverage. By threatening shipping and placing pressure on one of the world’s most important energy corridors, Tehran appears to calculate that it can eventually force Western governments to choose economic stability over confrontation. At the same time, the political and military restructuring described inside Iran points towards preparation for continued confrontation rathe...
Post a Comment

Is the withdrawal of the Iranian regime from the FATF blacklist and the opening of the European Union office in Tehran, is it feasible?

-
By Reza Hoseani
David Lewis, executive secretary of the FATF Special Operations Group, said there was no guarantee that Iran would leave Iran's blacklist. While the FATF deadline for Iran is over, the clerical regime has not yet decided to join it.
This is also due to the fact that the deadline for the second round of sanctions against the Iranian regime is swiftly approaching, but the EU package has not yet been set up.


It is worth mentioning that the FATF blacklist and the opening of the European Union office in Tehran have been named by the Khamenei Party « The Human Rights Poison Cup».
In fact, the consequence of the poisonous cessation of joining the regime to the FATF is that the clerical regime must immediately stop money laundering and financial support from the terrorists, which means losing one of its two basic foundations and, indeed, its most important leverage in exporting terrorism. Interference in the affairs of the countries of the region.
The opening of the European Union office in Tehran could also mean that the regime's actions in the field of human rights violations have attracted more attention and put the regime in difficulty.
As a result of the positive response to these demands, the clerical regime faces a series of poisoned drinking cups, which actually accelerates the process of overthrowing it, and refuses to accept these demands, which will put the clerical regime more exposed to new pressures and sanctions, which is obviously economically And politically, given the critical social conditions, it does not have such capacity, and if it assumes the impossibility of accepting these pressures, it will accelerate its overthrow.
In fact, this situation represents a stalemate in which the clerical regime has been plagued. Whatever the situation goes, the revolutionary conditions and the booming social environment and the rising protests inside Iran, together with the very weak position of the regime in the balance of power and the international scene and its immediate and reciprocal effects on each other, make the situation more critical to the clerical regime. The doubt about the fate of the overthrow is as close as possible and closer.

1982_400x400

Reza Hoseani is a writer, analyst, expert on Iranian affairs, a human rights activist and a defender of the rights of women, children and political prisoners
http://freedomforiran.com/
http://iranpanorama.news/
https://iran-panorama.blogspot.com/
https://plus.google.com/u/0/communities/105045439071730875696

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

International Dignitaries Rally for a New Iran Policy, Support NCRI as Democratic Alternative

-
Image
  Written by Shamsi Saadati Paris, France  – On Saturday, May 17, 2025, an influential international conference convened in Paris, uniting parliamentarians and prominent political figures from a wide array of countries including the United Kingdom, Canada, Ireland, Malta, Switzerland, Romania, Portugal, and the Netherlands. The central theme of the gathering was the urgent need for a new, decisive international policy towards Iran, with a strong emphasis on supporting democratic change and recognizing the National Council of Resistance of Iran (NCRI) as a viable alternative to the current regime. The event served as a significant platform for global lawmakers to voice their concerns over the deteriorating human rights situation in Iran, the regime’s escalating domestic repression, its destabilizing regional activities, and its persistent pursuit of a nuclear program. A recurring call throughout the conference was for Western governments to adopt a firmer stance, including the ...
Read more

When War Becomes an Excuse: How Economic Pressure Is Being Shifted Onto Ordinary People

-
Image
  By Reza Hoseani Iran’s economic crisis is no longer just a headline — it has become part of everyday life. Skyrocketing prices, the continuous collapse of the national currency, and shrinking household purchasing power are now affecting nearly every segment of society. But an important question remains: Are these hardships truly the direct result of war and external pressure, or are they rooted in domestic economic policies and political decisions? While state media repeatedly blame regional tensions and foreign conflicts for inflation and market instability, many economists argue that the current crisis is driven far more by internal policymaking than by war itself.   War as a Cover for Internal Economic Failure For years, whenever Iran’s economy entered a deeper phase of crisis, official narratives pointed to external enemies and international tensions. However, economic experts say the immediate impact of war rarely causes inflation on this scale in such a sho...
Read more

NCRI, British parliamentary committee host online event in support of Iranian women

-
Image
  Author:Zolal Habibi March 7, 2021— A global online  conference  held on Monday, March 8, marking International Women’s Day co-hosted by the Women’s Committee of the Iranian opposition National Council of Resistance of Iran (NCRI), The International Committee for a Democratic Iran, and the British Committee for Iran Freedom discussed the plight of Iranian women in their struggle for freedom and equal rights. The event featured speeches by politicians, women’s rights activists, and members of the Iranian opposition. Mrs. Maryam Rajavi, the president-elect of the NCRI and the keynote speaker of the event. “The outcome of the significant gender gap in Iran is the imposition of extreme poverty on women and the denial of many of their most basic rights,” Madam Rajavi said. “The misogynous regime wants to preserve its rule through repression. However, Iranian women play critical roles in challenging the regime and pushing the situation towards overthrowing the mullahs.” Madam ...
Read more