Iran’s War of Survival: Why Economic Pressure May Matter More Than Bombardment

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  Written by Mehdi Oghbai Six-minute read More than four months into the confrontation involving Iran and the United States, the conflict appears to have entered a decisive phase. The central question is no longer simply how much military damage either side can inflict. It is whether Tehran can turn prolonged confrontation into a political instrument of survival — or whether sustained economic isolation will expose vulnerabilities that military strikes alone have failed to exploit. The Iranian regime’s leadership has sought to portray its posture around the Strait of Hormuz as evidence of strength and strategic leverage. By threatening shipping and placing pressure on one of the world’s most important energy corridors, Tehran appears to calculate that it can eventually force Western governments to choose economic stability over confrontation. At the same time, the political and military restructuring described inside Iran points towards preparation for continued confrontation rathe...
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GERMANY CONFIRMS IRAN’S USE OF EMBASSY AS BASE FOR TERRORIST PLOTTING

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By Poorang Novak
Last week, Germany’s Federal Minister of the Interior Horst Seehofer and president of the Federal Office for the Protection of the Constitution of Germany (Bundesmat fur Verfassungsschutz, BfV) released a report that examines the Iranian regime’s intelligence gathering activities in Germany.
The Federal Office for the Protection of the Constitution of Germany initiated its information gathering following an increase in activity by the Iranian regime in Europe. The report notes that the regime is “intensifying” its plots against the opposition.


Last year, the National Council of Resistance of Iran (NCRI), the main opposition to the Iranian regime, held its annual gathering just outside Paris. There were tens of thousands of people in attendance – supporters from all over the world and many guest speakers including foreign members of parliament, political figures, former U.S. administration officials, and so on.
An Iranian diplomat based in the Iranian embassy in Vienna was arrested on 1st July last year. He was involved in the organisation of a plot to bomb the opposition rally in Villepinte in France and was working on behalf of the Iranian Ministry of Intelligence.
The plot was foiled by European authorities, but it could have been a very significant attack killing and injuring hundreds had it gone ahead. The Iranian diplomat had provided an Iranian born couple with the materials needed to carry out the bombing.
The report by the Federal Office for the Protection of the Constitution of Germany indicates that the diplomat was arrested in Germany after the Belgian judiciary issued a European arrest warrant. It explained that the diplomat was deported back to Belgium in October and investigation continues in both Germany and Belgium. The report also confirms that the case filed against the individual in Germany is ongoing.
The Federal Office for the Protection of the Constitution of Germany emphasises that the role of the Iranian regime’s intelligence apparatus is malign and that the regime uses it to “consolidate its rule”.
The office also emphasised that the opposition is facing a substantial threat and confirms that it is continuing to monitor the opposition in Germany. It said: “The threat that threatens the Iranian opposition in Germany has been exacerbated. Besides monitoring the opposition in Germany, several revealed cases indicate that the Iranian Ministry of Intelligence has planned some terror attempts against the opposition in Europe.”
With regards to the details about the Iranian regime’s plotting, the report indicates that the Iranian regime used its embassy in Germany as a base for its Ministry of Intelligence. It said that as well as treating the embassy in Germany as its intelligence “headquarters”, it is also using it to support other malign activities. It claims that the notorious Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps’ Quds Force is active in the country too.
The Iran threat is ever present in Europe and must be treated accordingly, not just for the safety of dissidents, but for all residents. And it is perhaps time that the Ministry of Intelligence is listed as a terrorist organisation.
Source: irannewsupdate

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